About Eurasia Group’s Global Political Risk Index
What is the Global Political Risk Index (GPRI)?
The GPRI is an index of country stability ratings for 24 emerging market countries. Its unique methodology measures a country’s ability to absorb political shocks. The GPRI evaluates political, social, economic, and security factors, using a combination of quantitative and qualitative data that is collected on the ground and through open source methods. Ratings are expressed on a scale of 0 to 100. Clear and concise analysis accompanies the index to illustrate what events impacted each country’s stability rating and make forecasts for the coming month.
Global Political Risk Index (GPRI), ...view middle of the document...
Scoring is subject to a rigorous monthly review process to ensure consistent implementation of the guidelines. Information comes from teams of in-country experts, who receive hands-on training in the methodology, as well as from open source materials. Eurasia Group analysts employ hundreds of local language and open sources in developing their analyses.
Highly stable countries (those with an index number at, or higher than, 80) possess all or most of the following characteristics:
• • • • • • • • efficient state institutions; government effectiveness (high degree of political institutionalization); high degree of political legitimacy among the population; sound economic performance and policies; absence of significant anti-state opposition; rare instances of political violence; low level of social, ethnic, or religious tensions; and infrequent occurrence of humanitarian emergencies and capacity to mitigate natural disasters.
What countries are currently covered on the GPRI?
The 24 GPRI countries include: Algeria, Argentina, Brazil, Bulgaria, China, Colombia, Egypt, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, and Venezuela.
Who publishes the GPRI?
The GPRI and accompanying analysis are prepared by Eurasia Group. It is distributed by Eurasia Group and Citi Private Bank to their clients. We also partner with selected media publications worldwide to publish the GPRI.
How long has the GPRI existed?
The index was created in 2001 as a joint venture between Eurasia Group and Lehman Brothers, during which time it was known as the LEGSI (Lehman Brothers–Eurasia Group Stability Index). In 2003, Eurasia Group partnered with Deutsche Bank to...