Client: Region: Iran
Introduction We have been asked by to provide a brief security risk assessment on the country of Iran with specific emphasis on factors that may affect proposed future operations in the region concentrating on political, operational, terrorism, security and travel risks. Risk Analysis Political • Electoral Demonstrations
Large scale demonstrations took place after the announcement of the election results on 12 June 2009 which resulted in numerous deaths due to clashes with local police. Further demonstrations and violence is expected at the swearing in ceremony of president Mahoud Ahmadinejad on 5 August ...view middle of the document...
The US believes that Iran is still some way off building a deliverable nuclear weapon and would prefer to wait at least until it withdraws all combat troops from Iraq in August 2010 before commiting to any military option against Iran.
Operational • Business Embargo.
The Iranian government obviously wants to see foreign investment and there are no current restrictions on foreign companies operating in the region from the Government. US legislation currently prevents US companies or their subsidiaries from doing business in Iran. Although this doesn’t affect non US companies; the US have also imposed a ban on raising capital within the US for Iranian projects which is making the process difficult. • Local national employee issues.
A German company recently warned that it may dismiss employees if they attend opposition protests. Alleged reports of the Iranian government tracing political calls made by foreign companies and seizing computers have also been made. With current world and political issues mounting, members of local national workforces in Iran could have an inclination to become involved in protests and other illegal activities with potential damaging ramifications on company brand and reputation. • Natural disaster
Most of Iran is prone to earthquakes. Small tremors occur frequently. On 10 September 2008, an earthquake occurred in the Province of Hormozgan near the South Iranian city of Bandar Abbas. About seven people were killed and at least 40 injured. The earthquake measured 6.1 on the Richter scale. On 31 March 2006, several earthquakes occurred in the province of Lorestan, western Iran,killing around 100 people and injuring 1200. On 22 February 2005, an earthquake measuring 6.4 on the Richter scale struck Zarand in southeast Iran. Official figures suggest at least 600 people died and hundreds were injured. On 26 December 2003, a large earthquake hit Bam, in south eastern Iran, and around 30,000 people died. UNsponsored reports suggest that Iran is the world’s number one country for earthquakes, and that it may be ill-equipped to cope in the event of significant tectonic activity in built-up areas. Terrorism General There is a general threat from terrorism. In recent years there have been a number of bombs and explosive attacks in Iran. Further attacks could be indiscriminate, including in and against places frequented by expatriates and foreign travellers. You should maintain a high level of vigilance and exercise good security practice. British institutions and businesses should also keep their security arrangements under review. On 16 March 2009 the Deputy Prosecutor General of Isfahan was assassinated outside the court. His assassin was arrested at the scene. On 25 January 2009 ten police officers were killed following a battle with armed gunmen near the city of
Zahedan. On 7 January 2009 one person was killed as a result of a terrorist attack on a group of people observing a...