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Btech Transport Assignment

2885 words - 12 pages


The inevitable changes among vehicular modal share in the Transport system thirty years from now

Phumelela Kubheka, 200675320

This Assignment is submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements of the Bachelor of Technology Degree in
Transportation Management

In the

Department of Transport and Supply Chain Management

Faculty of Management

At the University of Johannesburg

03 April 2014

Table of contents

1.1 Introduction …………………………………………....3
2. Transport issues …………………………………….….5
2.1 Amount of travel ……………………………………....5
2.2 Purpose of travel ……………………………………...6
2.3 Public Transport accessibility ………………………..7
2.4 ...view middle of the document...

The third issue is the overarching importance for the poor of the walking trip. The fourth issue is the overall pattern of decreasing accessibility with decreasing income. Finally, the important role of the minibus taxis to the poor is clear. As a vehicular mode, it dominated in the poor sector.

My argument is based on the economic gap of income groups. I will highlight how the rich are also affected by recession and bad state of our current condition in the economy. Most people are forced to leave their cars and use public transport. With an increase use of public transport, people will save on fuel and maintenance costs. To add to that, low congestion volumes will result in reduced road maintenance costs for towns and provinces.
There is likely a upward trend in the price of oil, when oil supplies appear to be peaking, this with have massive consequences for our economies.

The rational user will assess the cost and benefits associated in selecting a mode, which provides the greatest net profit.

2. Analysis method (the Quintiles)
The metropolitan, urban and rural population of South Africa are not the same size. The metro areas comprise 4.56 million households; the urban areas comprise 3.48 million households and the rural areas comprise 4.39 million households.


2. Transport issues

2.1 Amount of travel

Firstly, the fewer trips taken overall in the rural setting indicate the difficulty in access: longer walking times to some destinations and lack of affordable or reasonable motorised transport for others in rural areas, as well as fewer opportunities for work and shopping.

Secondly, the general trend is for an increase in metro/urban trip-making activity as incomes increase, with the rich travelling 20% more than the poor in metropolitan, and 10% more in urban areas.

From the table we can see that the car driver mode is steady because most people are entering the working environment than before especially women and the disabled.
The minibus-taxi percentages have also increased by 10% between 2002 and 2011, because this is the mode that caters for most people in the middle class. The taxi is able in most occasions to take passengers from door to door and it is fast and affordable.

The cost of travelling by private vehicle is critical, including the need for accurate parking charges in the CBD. An international trend, which has been successful in London, is the implementation of congestion charge for access into certain areas of the CBD. The money taken from the charge covers the operational costs of the service as well as upgrading aspects of the public system.

2.2 Purpose of travel

For the poor in metropolitan areas the most popular purposes were shopping, visiting and educational destinations. For all income groups combined, the most popular purposes are distinctly different with work and shopping being...

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